Notebook PC Growth to Continue, Despite Tablet Popularity

Many people assume that the wildly popular iPad and its Android competitors are cannibalizing demand for notebooks. While that may be true in the short-term, the trend won’t continue indefinitely, according to a new report from NPD DisplaySearch.

Tablets are certainly enjoying enormous growth. In 2011, 72.7 million tablets were shipped, representing 25.5 percent of all mobile PC shipments, NPD DisplaySearch reports. Year-over-year shipment growth for tablets in 2011 is expected to reach 256 percent.

Meanwhile, 187.5 million notebook computers were shipped in 2011, up 12 percent from the prior year but down slightly from the previous forecast for notebooks shipped in 2011 of 188 million.

By 2017, notebook shipments are expected to reach 432 million units, with tablets at 383.3 million units.

“In the short term, tablet PCs will be the growth accelerant in the overall mobile PC market, as macroeconomic factors and hard drive motor supply issues impact the market for notebook PCs,” according to Richard Shim, Senior Analyst at NPD DisplaySearch. He adds that in the long term, notebooks will bounce back, thanks to Windows 8 and the growing popularity of the ultrabook form factor.

Speaking of ultrabooks, LAPTOP magazine recently posted its top alternatives to the MacBook Air, including the HP Folio and its editors’ choice Lenovo ThinkPad X1.


tablets, notebook PCs